If you are skeptical. it's easy to show you why I suspect the climate data has serious issues. For example, the GISS data does not match the Alaska climate data. All stations except Barrow show cooling trend since 1979. Barrow shows a warming trend.
GISS map showing Alaska annual trend for 1978-2013
Actual data from climate stations
A climate skeptic probably doesn't even need it explained. A believer, it will not matter how carefully, how well, or how much evidence is used to explain. They always have a way to avoid discussing, or even seeing the evidence.
Evidence based science applied to climate and climate research.
Total Pageviews
Sunday, May 18, 2014
Wednesday, May 7, 2014
The NCDC changed temperature data of the past again
Recently past temperatures used by the NCDC CAG were changed, all of the changes resulted in making the past cooler. This is not a secret. But it clearly shows up when comparing their data now, to data used before the change.
The CAG for Alabama winter
Weather underground article discussing Alabama cooling in winter
CAG data before the change, temperatures have fallen at a rate of 0.6 degree per century.
After the change, no cooling trend at all
Looking at the exact same winter trend now shows no cooling at all. That is a huge change. The changes they made also makes all previous papers based on CAG wrong.
Changing data, changing the evidence, makes it very difficult to do evidence based science. Some might even say it's not scientific.
The same thing is evident using the winter data for Mississippi, as well as every other state now. Compare the weatherunderground data (published 2013) with the current data. (you will have to set the trend to end in 2012, the CAG link doesn't work correctly for trends)
After the change, no cooling trend at all.
In essence, the changes they made, which evident but are not well documented, have drastically reduced or simply erased the cooling trends which were evident and obvious. Not any more. How they did it is described as "a black box" method, it can't be replicated or reviewed by anyone else.
The http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/ site does not allow you to use the "old" data anymore. Nor do they note the nature of the change on the CAG page.
This is an example of changing the evidence after the fact. That all the changes make the past cooler isn't a surprise, if you know the history of data changing, in regards to global warming.
They have done this before. There is abundant evidence of why many people consider the NCDC data useless.
As a scientists, I find this unacceptable in the extreme. My own research on climate has used the NCDC CAG data for years. Now every last bit of it looks "wrong", because they simply and with out a doubt, changed the past.
Every graph and all the data on the weatherunderground article is now "wrong".
Something you can check for yourself
By changing the past, they made the -.4 F cooling trend for Louisiana . -.1 F
In simple terms, by changing the past they have almost eliminated all the cooling trends for US states. It also makes the annual trend look like it's warmed more.
The Florida climate change page has Florida, Georgia and Alabama records before the changes.
The CAG for Alabama winter
Weather underground article discussing Alabama cooling in winter
CAG data before the change, temperatures have fallen at a rate of 0.6 degree per century.
After the change, no cooling trend at all
Changing data, changing the evidence, makes it very difficult to do evidence based science. Some might even say it's not scientific.
The same thing is evident using the winter data for Mississippi, as well as every other state now. Compare the weatherunderground data (published 2013) with the current data. (you will have to set the trend to end in 2012, the CAG link doesn't work correctly for trends)
After the change, no cooling trend at all.
Before the change, there was a -.6 F cooling trend
In essence, the changes they made, which evident but are not well documented, have drastically reduced or simply erased the cooling trends which were evident and obvious. Not any more. How they did it is described as "a black box" method, it can't be replicated or reviewed by anyone else.
The http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/ site does not allow you to use the "old" data anymore. Nor do they note the nature of the change on the CAG page.
This is an example of changing the evidence after the fact. That all the changes make the past cooler isn't a surprise, if you know the history of data changing, in regards to global warming.
They have done this before. There is abundant evidence of why many people consider the NCDC data useless.
As a scientists, I find this unacceptable in the extreme. My own research on climate has used the NCDC CAG data for years. Now every last bit of it looks "wrong", because they simply and with out a doubt, changed the past.
Every graph and all the data on the weatherunderground article is now "wrong".
Something you can check for yourself
By changing the past, they made the -.4 F cooling trend for Louisiana . -.1 F
In simple terms, by changing the past they have almost eliminated all the cooling trends for US states. It also makes the annual trend look like it's warmed more.
The Florida climate change page has Florida, Georgia and Alabama records before the changes.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)