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Thursday, November 6, 2014

Are Volcanic Eruptions Changing the Climate?

Volcanic Eruptions May Slow Global Warming


Volcanic Eruptions Could be Slowing Down Global Warming

Volcanic Eruptions

A combination of a solar minimum, and volcanoes, is believed to be the cause of the Little Ice Age.  Of course there is no way to actually predict what will happen, but that never stopped anyone.

Russian scientist issues global cooling warning

15:53 25/08/2006
ST. PETERSBURG, August 25 (RIA Novosti)- Global cooling could develop on Earth in 50 years and have serious consequences before it is replaced by a period of warming in the early 22nd century, a Russian scientist said Friday.
Environmentalists and scientists today focus on the dangers of global warming provoked by man's detrimental effect on the planet's climate, but global cooling - though never widely supported - is a theory postulating an overwhelming cooling of the Earth which could involve glaciation.
"On the basis of our [solar emission] research, we developed a scenario of a global cooling of the Earth's climate by the middle of this century and the beginning of a regular 200-year-long cycle of the climate's global warming at the start of the 22nd century," said the head of the space research sector of the Russian Academy of Sciences' astronomical observatory.
Khabibullo Abdusamatov said he and his colleagues had concluded that a period of global cooling similar to one seen in the late 17th century - when canals froze in the Netherlands and people had to leave their dwellings in Greenland - could start in 2012-2015 and reach its peak in 2055-2060.
Solar activity heads for lowest low in four centuries



Thursday, October 16, 2014

Trying to explain the obvious once more, the xkcd Cold comic

xkcd "Cold" (I love xkcd)

After some thought, and some research, there may be a way to show, in a scientific manner one of the core disputes.  Experience has taught one thing for sure, that its 'impossible to to get through to a closed mind, but it is the internet, you never know.

The winters in MO warmed up after the cold sixties and the extremely cold seventies.  You can see that on the official MO climate center site.  The data clearly shows the cold period changed to a warm period.  Winters were trending warmer.

You can see it on the GISS map



and you can easily see it on the NCDC graph as well.




Because we have more data after 1993, it is doubtful anyone would object to stating the facts, that winters were warming in MO, and 1993 was part of a trend.  Even with the winters of 93 and 94 being colder than the previous warm winters, it's still obvious that the winters were warming.  (of course now we have the rest of the nineties, there is no doubt about the warming trend)

If somebody objected (and they did) that it was too short a time period, you could move it back to 1970, giving 24 years for the trend.















Sea level

http://joannenova.com.au/2014/06/sea-level-rise-less-than-1mm-for-last-125-years-nils-axel-morner/

EODIS views

EOSDIS view of Greenland

Changing the data goes mainstream

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2014/jun/23/editorial-rigged-science/

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/environment/10916086/The-scandal-of-fiddled-global-warming-data.html

http://sunshinehours.wordpress.com/2014/06/25/noaa-usa-july-1936-maximum-temperatures-top-3-are-1936-1934-and-1901/

https://sunshinehours.wordpress.com/2014/06/28/ushcn-2-5-omg-the-old-data-changes-every-day-2/

http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2014/06/26/it-gets-more-bizarre-by-the-hour/#comment-376700

http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2014/06/01/more-than-40-of-ushcn-station-data-is-fabricated/

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/06/28/the-scientific-method-is-at-work-on-the-ushcn-temperature-data-set/

http://blog.hotwhopper.com/2014/06/noaa-and-temperature-data-it-must-be.html

The Heisenberg failure

Heisenberg failed in many ways while developing, or trying to develop a working reactor, and of course atomic bombs during WWII.   This is attributed by Bodanis (and others of course) to the facts that he was a theorist, while many of the others working on the same problem were trained as engineers,  And the German educational system, and the fascist mentality, which Heisenberg personified, preventing his subordinates from even mentioning his errors, much less solving fundamental problems that he had in fact created by using theoretical methods, rather than practical engineering.

This applies to current climate research, where open hostility and a refusal to even consider any other ideas when it comes to solving large problems for general circulation models.

These include (but not limited to) solar physics, atmospheric chemistry, biological forcings, clouds, precipitation, ocean circulation, large scale atmospheric changes, snow and ice, other pollutants besides CO2, vulcanism, especially undersea activity and under the ice sheets.

 The list goes on and on.